| Market | Probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Home win | 49% | LOW |
| Draw | 21% | — |
| Away win | 28% | — |
| Home or draw | 71% | MEDIUM |
| Draw or away | 49% | LOW |
| Home or away | 76% | LOW |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | HIGH |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | MEDIUM |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | LOW |
| Both teams score | 65% | MEDIUM |
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · predictions are information, not financial advice.
Verified predictions
from the lab
Real-time data fused with probability models. Attack power, defensive metrics and form distilled into publicly verified predictions.
Machine learning models trained on two decades of football, kept honest by gates that block anything unproven from going live.
184,000 matches across 30 leagues, updated every night. Form, strength, head to head, squads — over 300 signals per match.
Our models never see bookmaker prices. They form an independent opinion — that is what makes a second opinion worth having.
HIGH, MEDIUM, LOW come from measured hit rates per league and market — walk forward, out of sample, never trained on the future.
A slip type only ships after it proves itself on real settled history. Until then it stays in the lab — that is why some tiers are not visible yet.
Everything we publish is logged before kick off and settled after. Predicted vs actual, wins and losses, all of it stays visible.
Every number on this site can be followed back to the pick it came from, and every pick to what happened to it.
What the model would back today, at six levels of odds. Published before kick-off and fixed from then on.
Today's picksEvery pick we have published and what became of it, hit or miss. Nothing is removed after the fact.
See the recordWhen we say 80%, does 80% happen? Every single forecast measured against its outcome.
Check our numbersEvery fixture of the day with the model's numbers for each market, whether or not it became a pick.
Open the centreThe rule that chooses the picks, what the confidence labels mean, and what this site is not.
Read the methodWe warn you off bad slips. Low win probability gets a visible warning, not a hard sell.
Stakes stay small. Never bet money you need. A week's total should stay under a small share of what you can afford.
No guarantees, ever. If someone promises you profits, close the tab. We publish our misses.
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